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In the news, an anticipated meeting between Taiwan’s President Tsai Ing-wen and US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has sparked concerns of a repeat of the pressure campaign China launched last year. During that time, Beijing encircled Taiwan with military drills and cut off contact with the United States. This time, Beijing has already threatened to “resolutely fight back” if the Tsai-McCarthy meeting goes ahead.
Despite the pressure, President Tsai remains committed to connecting with the world and like-minded democracies, and she will not let external pressure deter Taiwan. Experts believe that Beijing may tread more carefully this time, as any overreaction would push China further away from the world.
The meeting between Tsai and McCarthy comes at a precarious moment in US-China relations, with tensions flaring over various issues. Taiwan is already feeling the fallout from Beijing’s response last August, as Chinese military forces now regularly make incursions over the border of control between Beijing and Taipei. This meeting will mark another symbolic moment for Taiwan and the US, as they continue to maintain unofficial ties.
Congress has been a pillar of increasing American support for Taiwan, and lawmakers regularly visit the island to enhance support and cooperation. The meeting between Tsai and McCarthy will likely focus on how to support Taiwan against unilateral actions by Beijing.
While the stakes are high, a fierce response from Beijing could push voters away from Taiwan’s main opposition party, which is seen as more friendly toward Beijing. Additionally, Beijing is aware that its actions toward Taiwan are under a global spotlight, especially following the invasion of Ukraine by Russian President Vladimir Putin. An aggressive response could risk stoking confrontation with the US, which both Xi and US President Joe Biden have called to avoid.
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