Turkey’s Kurds hold the power to determine Erdogan’s political future

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Turkey’s upcoming election has taken an interesting turn as the pro-Kurdish Peoples’ Democratic Party (HDP) has emerged as a kingmaker that could potentially unseat Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who has ruled Turkey for two decades. The HDP’s decision not to field its own presidential candidate allows its supporters to vote for Erdogan’s main rival, Kemal Kilicdaroglu of the Republican People’s Party (CHP). This move by the HDP could tip the balance of the election in favor of Kilicdaroglu.

The HDP’s influence in Turkish politics is significant, despite the crackdown it has faced from Erdogan’s government. The party has been targeted for its representation of Turkey’s Kurds, who make up a sizable minority in the country. Erdogan initially courted the Kurds, but relations soured over time and the HDP became a target of his crackdown on the PKK and affiliated groups. Despite the pressure, the HDP remains a key player in Turkey’s politics.

While it is unclear if the HDP will officially endorse Kilicdaroglu, its deliberate distance from Erdogan’s AK Party could work in the opposition candidate’s favor. The HDP’s decision not to field a candidate of its own shows its commitment to opposing Erdogan’s one-man rule and its willingness to work with the international community to bring about change in Turkey.

The HDP’s position as a kingmaker stems from its ability to secure a significant portion of the Kurdish vote in Turkey. Kurds make up between 15% and 20% of the population, and the HDP garners about half of their votes. This makes the HDP’s support crucial for any candidate seeking to challenge Erdogan’s rule.

Despite the accusations and threats it faces, the HDP understands the importance of its role in shaping the future of Turkey. The party was founded with the goal of peacefully resolving the Kurdish conflict, and it is aware of the responsibility it holds in this critical moment for the country. The HDP wants to ensure that the election remains focused on the issues and not polarized by ugly ultra-nationalist rhetoric.

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